The Poland-Belarus Scenario Nobody is Talking About

A shooting scenario must be taken seriously. It could happen one of two ways. First, someone on the Belarussian side could provide one of the trapped, freshly traumatized and outraged migrants a gun and let them do what they will. Second, an agent provocateur could infiltrate a migrant camp to gesture threateningly or pull the trigger themselves.

AUKUS Sub Deal: Implications for the Nuclear Arms Control Regime

Even the presence of nuclear-powered submarines presents a variety of challenges for Australia. Would these submarines be permitted to dock in New Zealand, a sworn opponent of nuclear proliferation with whom Australia maintains significant interoperability and operational overlap? Would these submarines be more obvious to Chinese passive sonar in the South China Sea than their diesel power counterparts? 

How (and How Not) to Handle China in the Pacific

China’s military build-up, aggressive attitude in international waters, contested territory claims and new trade deals have weakened the United States' position in the Pacific. Although the United States is down, it is not out yet. The United States is still the world's largest economy and one of, if not the most, influential nations in the world. These determinants mean that the United States can recover its position if it plays its cards right. 

A Human Rights Foreign Policy Demands Dumping the Saudis

President Biden recently approved a $650 million sale of air-to-air missiles to Saudi Arabia in a complete reversal of his February announcement. This comes not long after the administration announced a $500 million contract with Saudi Arabia in September, providing the Arab nation with military support and maintenance of its Apache and Black Hawk attack helicopters. 

Time to Reconsider the US-Pakistan Relationship

Keeping Islamabad's unacceptable behavior in mind, it makes little sense to continue providing Pakistan with the support America has in the past. Instead, Washington should prioritize forming stronger partnerships with countries such as India, which would make a great ally as a result of shared interests against China.