Garrett Ehinger // Before America even considers abrogating the One China policy, it should focus on solving persistent underlying questions surrounding Taiwanese security and less risky alternative means of deterring China.
Category: Taiwan
Stay Behind Forces in Taiwan: No Room to Swing a Gladius
Stanley Mitchell // Strategists and analysts should reconsider the value and purpose of SB operations in the context of Taiwan. Historical SB operations were intended to support and amplify the activity of a relatively closely located friendly force, and to facilitate the flow of operatives. All of this is made exponentially more difficult in an island like Taiwan.
Why China Lacks Subtlety about Its Intentions with Taiwan
Garrett Ehinger // Taiwan is only about 100 miles off the coast of China, and much like how the United States felt during the Cuban Missile Crisis, China perceives military and strategic threats from a US-aligned Taiwan. But there are other qualities of a democratic Taiwan that cause it to chafe the PRC.
U.S.-China Competition: Is China Winning Without War?
Garrett Ehinger // China is not as affected by U.S. deterrence as American leaders might think. It recognizes the high costs that war with the United States would have...Thus it seeks to provoke the United States into further investment in deterrence while patiently entrenching itself around the globe.
How China’s Aggressive Taiwan Policy Undermines its Reunification Goals
Anthony Toh Han Yang // Taiwan’s intense efforts at bolstering its defenses may not rule out forceful reunification, making it harder and costlier for China to achieve reunification through violent measures.
Turning the Tide in Taipei: Assessing Taiwan’s Preparation for a PLA Attack
Alison O’Neil, Austin Hillebrandt, and Sofia Valle // Taipei must take concrete steps now if it is to challenge an increasingly aggressive China.
Preventing War Over Taiwan: Washington’s Role and Taipei’s Responsibility
By Jonathan Liu // Risking a nuclear conflict with China undermines the livelihood and prosperity of all. But such a choice can and should be avoided in the foreseeable future.
What the US Gets Wrong About Taiwan
By Sean Starkweather // When it comes to Taiwan, America can only protect its interests if it commits in a transparent manner to a diplomatic resolution rather than a military one.
Ukraine is Actually Making Taiwan More Confident
By Lake Dodson & Benedicta Kwartang // As Ukraine fights for sovereignty and territory, Taiwan is increasingly inspired to think more highly of its own self-defense.
Ghosts of Gladio: Mapping Out a Stay-Behind Strategy in Taiwan
By Noah Schwartz & Alison O'Neil // Rather than helping Taiwan prepare for conventional defense by hitting targets in the Chinese mainland — a strategy that could further provoke the PRC while failing to match the PLA’s superior firepower — the United States should encourage Taiwan to develop its asymmetric capabilities.