Garrett Ehinger // It is, therefore, far from inevitable that China will surpass the United States. To paraphrase Napoleon Bonaparte, “never interrupt your enemy when they are making a mistake.” Lucky for America, China is making several.
Why China Lacks Subtlety about Its Intentions with Taiwan
Garrett Ehinger // Taiwan is only about 100 miles off the coast of China, and much like how the United States felt during the Cuban Missile Crisis, China perceives military and strategic threats from a US-aligned Taiwan. But there are other qualities of a democratic Taiwan that cause it to chafe the PRC.
U.S.-China Competition: Is China Winning Without War?
Garrett Ehinger // China is not as affected by U.S. deterrence as American leaders might think. It recognizes the high costs that war with the United States would have...Thus it seeks to provoke the United States into further investment in deterrence while patiently entrenching itself around the globe.
How China’s Aggressive Taiwan Policy Undermines its Reunification Goals
Anthony Toh Han Yang // Taiwan’s intense efforts at bolstering its defenses may not rule out forceful reunification, making it harder and costlier for China to achieve reunification through violent measures.
China, Career Advice, and a Little George Kennan: An Interview with John S. Van Oudenaren
Grant W. Turner // Five Questions for John S. Van Oudenaren on China with some career advice for young I.R. scholars at the end.
Is Third-Party Mediation Possible in the Armenian-Azerbaijani Conflict?
Alexander Miguel // While France might be hamstrung and the United States does what it can to achieve peace between Armenia and Azerbaijan, Russia, with the influence and obligations to act, remains silent.
The U.S. Must Prove Itself in Southeast Asia
Narupat Rattanakit // The United States must pursue a high level of engagement that respects ASEAN centrality to avoid and repeat the same disrespect shown during the Cold War and post-Cold War period.
Turning the Tide in Taipei: Assessing Taiwan’s Preparation for a PLA Attack
Alison O’Neil, Austin Hillebrandt, and Sofia Valle // Taipei must take concrete steps now if it is to challenge an increasingly aggressive China.
Wa State: A Tool in China’s Myanmar strategy
By Will Waghorne // From its inception, Wa State has been a potent vehicle for articulating Chinese interests.
Balancing Beijing: AUKUS and the Indo-Pacific
By Shravan Krishnan // Between aspiring global powers with nuclear capabilities, avowed non-nuclear states, staunch U.S. allies, and decidedly neutral states, various factors drive the different perspectives of Indo-Pacific powers on AUKUS as China looms large in the background.